Challenger Pro League
RFC Seraing vs RFC Liège Prediction: a narrow RFC Seraing win
Our model makes RFC Seraing vs RFC Liège a narrow RFC Seraing win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- RFC Seraing or RFC LiègeDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- RFC Seraing (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today69%1.45
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.3%10.75
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 46Tips44 Power30
- 37Tips44 Form23
- 68Tips44 Attack60
- 32Tips44 Defence8
- 70Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- RFC Seraing to score80% recent
RFC Seraing scored in 8 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- RFC Liège to score80% recent
RFC Liège scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 59%
Both teams scored in 7 of RFC Seraing's last 10 and 8 of RFC Liège's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Over 2.5 goals75% recent · model 57%
7 of RFC Seraing's last 10 and 8 of RFC Liège's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.4 and 3.8 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 40 percent RFC Seraing, 27 percent the draw and 34 percent RFC Liège. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from RFC Seraing and 1.4 from RFC Liège, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: RFC Seraing or RFC Liège at 73 percent and RFC Seraing (draw no bet) at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
RFC Seraing vs RFC Liège: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in RFC Seraing vs RFC Liège?
RFC Seraing. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 34% for RFC Liège and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%. Both teams scored in 7 of RFC Seraing's last 10 and 8 of RFC Liège's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 2.0 for RFC Seraing and 1.4 for RFC Liège.
When is RFC Seraing vs RFC Liège?
Friday 30 October, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Challenger Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.