DFB Pokal
Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig Prediction: a RB Leipzig win
Our model makes Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig a RB Leipzig win, with a most likely score of 1-2 and high confidence at 79%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
RB Leipzig favoured at 79% — model xG 1.1 vs 2.6.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- RB Leipzig or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- RB Leipzig (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- RB Leipzig to winMatch result tips today79%1.27
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today71%1.41
- Correct score 1-2Correct score tips today9.0%11.11
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 63Tips44 Power55
- 48Tips44 Form50
- 98Tips44 Attack92
- 42Tips44 Defence24
- 67Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 9 to 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- RB Leipzig to score90% recent
RB Leipzig scored in 9 of their last 10 (23 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals74% recent · model 71%
6 of Rot-Weiss Essen's last 9 and 8 of RB Leipzig's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.9 and 4.2 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has RB Leipzig at 79 percent, with the draw at 13 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.6 from RB Leipzig, a combined 3.8, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by RB Leipzig or draw at 85 percent, RB Leipzig (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 9.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig. Our model gives them a 79% chance of winning, against 8% for Rot-Weiss Essen and 13% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 53%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.6 for RB Leipzig.
When is Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig?
Tuesday 27 October, 20:00 EAT (17:00 UTC). It is a DFB Pokal match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.