Challenger Pro League
Royal Francs Borains vs FCV Dender Prediction: a narrow Royal Francs Borains win
Our model makes Royal Francs Borains vs FCV Dender a narrow Royal Francs Borains win and low confidence at 61%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Royal Francs Borains favoured at 61% — model xG 2.0 vs 1.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Royal Francs Borains or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- Royal Francs Borains (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today77%1.30
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Royal Francs Borains to winMatch result tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.9%10.10
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 57Tips44 Power56
- 60Tips44 Form63
- 60Tips44 Attack44
- 52Tips44 Defence60
- 60Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Royal Francs Borains at 61 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from Royal Francs Borains and 1.1 from FCV Dender, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Royal Francs Borains or draw at 82 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent and Royal Francs Borains (draw no bet) at 77 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Royal Francs Borains vs FCV Dender: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Royal Francs Borains vs FCV Dender?
Royal Francs Borains. Our model gives them a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for FCV Dender and 22% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 2.0 for Royal Francs Borains and 1.1 for FCV Dender.
When is Royal Francs Borains vs FCV Dender?
Wednesday 4 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Challenger Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.