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Eredivisie

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction: a narrow PSV Eindhoven win

Our model makes Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven a narrow PSV Eindhoven win, with a most likely score of 1-2 and low confidence at 60%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow PSV Eindhoven win
Predicted score1-2
Confidencelow (60%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 71% — combined xG 3.8.

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
CambuurPSV Eindhoven
  • 57Tips44 Power68
  • 50Tips44 Form57
  • 92Tips44 Attack88
  • 28Tips44 Defence60
  • 80Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Cambuur to score100% recent

    Cambuur scored in 10 of their last 10 (23 goals).

  • PSV Eindhoven to score90% recent

    PSV Eindhoven scored in 9 of their last 10 (22 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 88%

    9 of Cambuur's last 10 and 8 of PSV Eindhoven's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has PSV Eindhoven at 60 percent, with the draw at 19 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from SC Cambuur and 2.4 from PSV Eindhoven, a combined 3.8, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, SC Cambuur or PSV Eindhoven at 81 percent and PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet) at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 8.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Cambuur win21%
Draw19%
PSV Eindhoven win60%

Expected goals

SC Cambuur crestSC Cambuur1.46
PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven2.36

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven. Our model gives them a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for Cambuur and 19% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

1-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 65%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Cambuur and 2.4 for PSV Eindhoven.

When is Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven?

Sunday 8 November, 18:45 EAT (15:45 UTC). It is a Eredivisie match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreEredivisie hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.