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Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Prediction: a narrow Feyenoord win

Our model makes Heerenveen vs Feyenoord a narrow Feyenoord win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Feyenoord win
Confidencelow (49%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 63% — combined xG 3.3.

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
HeerenveenFeyenoord
  • 57Tips44 Power70
  • 50Tips44 Form67
  • 72Tips44 Attack100
  • 48Tips44 Defence44
  • 60Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Feyenoord to score90% recent

    Feyenoord scored in 9 of their last 10 (27 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 83%

    8 of Heerenveen's last 10 and 9 of Feyenoord's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Feyenoord at 49 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from SC Heerenveen and 1.9 from Feyenoord, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, SC Heerenveen or Feyenoord at 77 percent and Feyenoord (draw no bet) at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Heerenveen win28%
Draw23%
Feyenoord win49%

Expected goals

SC Heerenveen crestSC Heerenveen1.45
Feyenoord crestFeyenoord1.86

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?

Feyenoord. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 28% for Heerenveen and 23% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Heerenveen and 1.9 for Feyenoord.

When is Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?

Sunday 8 November, 14:15 EAT (11:15 UTC). It is a Eredivisie match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreEredivisie hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.