Copa del Rey
SD Amorebieta vs Logroñés Prediction: a narrow Logroñés win
Our model makes SD Amorebieta vs Logroñés a narrow Logroñés win and low confidence at 52%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- UD Logroñés or drawDouble chance tips today77%1.30
- UD Logroñés (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today69%1.45
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 22Tips44 Power90
- 25Tips44 Form83
- 30Tips44 Attack100
- 10Tips44 Defence87
- 50Tips44 Goals83
Out of 100, from each team's last 4 to 6 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Logroñés to score100% recent
Logroñés scored in 6 of their last 6 (18 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 54%
2 of SD Amorebieta's last 4 and 5 of Logroñés's last 6 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3 and 3.3 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has UD Logroñés at 52 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: UD Logroñés or draw at 77 percent and UD Logroñés (draw no bet) at 69 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
SD Amorebieta vs Logroñés: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in SD Amorebieta vs Logroñés?
Logroñés. Our model gives them a 52% chance of winning, against 23% for SD Amorebieta and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 0.0 for SD Amorebieta and 0.0 for Logroñés.
When is SD Amorebieta vs Logroñés?
Wednesday 4 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Copa del Rey match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.