Livescore44

DFB Pokal

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04 Prediction: a Schalke 04 win

Our model makes SG Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04 a Schalke 04 win, with a most likely score of 1-2 and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomeSchalke 04 win
Predicted score1-2
Confidencelow (46%)
Market we would callBoth teams to score

Both teams to score priced 62% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.3 / 2.5).

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
SG Dynamo DresdenSchalke 04
  • 46Tips44 Power49
  • 37Tips44 Form43
  • 68Tips44 Attack48
  • 32Tips44 Defence56
  • 60Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • SG Dynamo Dresden to score80% recent

    SG Dynamo Dresden scored in 8 of their last 10 (17 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has FC Schalke 04 at 46 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from SG Dynamo Dresden and 2.5 from FC Schalke 04, a combined 3.8, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by FC Schalke 04 (draw no bet) at 82 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent and SG Dynamo Dresden or FC Schalke 04 at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 9.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

SG Dynamo Dresden win28%
Draw26%
Schalke 04 win46%

Expected goals

SG Dynamo DresdenSG Dynamo Dresden1.26
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 042.51

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in SG Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04?

Schalke 04. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 28% for SG Dynamo Dresden and 26% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

1-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 62%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.3 for SG Dynamo Dresden and 2.5 for Schalke 04.

When is SG Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04?

Wednesday 28 October, 20:00 EAT (17:00 UTC). It is a DFB Pokal match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.