2. Bundesliga
SG Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction: a narrow SG Dynamo Dresden win
Our model makes SG Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth a narrow SG Dynamo Dresden win and low confidence at 50%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.9 / 1.2).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- SG Dynamo Dresden or SpVgg Greuther FürthDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- SG Dynamo Dresden (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.2%9.80
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 34Tips44 Power36
- 27Tips44 Form37
- 52Tips44 Attack44
- 24Tips44 Defence28
- 60Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 81%
10 of SG Dynamo Dresden's last 10 and 8 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - SG Dynamo Dresden to score80% recent
SG Dynamo Dresden scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has SG Dynamo Dresden at 50 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from SG Dynamo Dresden and 1.2 from SpVgg Greuther Fürth, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, SG Dynamo Dresden or SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 76 percent and SG Dynamo Dresden (draw no bet) at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
SG Dynamo Dresden1.92
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.17Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
SG Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in SG Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
SG Dynamo Dresden. Our model gives them a 50% chance of winning, against 26% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.9 for SG Dynamo Dresden and 1.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
When is SG Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Friday 6 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a 2. Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.