Nigeria Premier Football League
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance Prediction: a narrow Shooting Stars win
Our model makes Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance a narrow Shooting Stars win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 61%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Shooting Stars favoured at 61%, with model xG of 1.7 vs 0.8.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Shooting Stars or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Shooting Stars (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today81%1.23
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
- Shooting Stars to winMatch result tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today13.8%7.25
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 48Tips44 Power57
- 40Tips44 Form60
- 52Tips44 Attack72
- 52Tips44 Defence40
- 40Tips44 Goals90
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Bendel Insurance to score80% recent
Bendel Insurance scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Shooting Stars at 61 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Shooting Stars and 0.8 from Bendel Insurance FC, a combined 2.5, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Shooting Stars or draw at 85 percent, Shooting Stars (draw no bet) at 81 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 13.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Shooting Stars1.73
Bendel Insurance FC0.80Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance?
Shooting Stars. Our model gives them a 61% chance of winning, against 15% for Bendel Insurance and 24% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Shooting Stars and 0.8 for Bendel Insurance.
When is Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance?
Sunday 15 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.