International Friendly Games
Sint Maarten vs Anguilla Prediction: a Sint Maarten win
Our model makes Sint Maarten vs Anguilla a Sint Maarten win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 72%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Sint Maarten favoured at 72%, with model xG of 2.2 vs 0.8.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Sint Maarten or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Sint Maarten (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Sint Maarten to winMatch result tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today11.9%8.40
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 7Tips44 Power5
- 0Tips44 Form0
- 20Tips44 Attack16
- 0Tips44 Defence0
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 4 to 5 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Sint Maarten at 72 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.2 goals from Sint Maarten and 0.8 from Anguilla, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Sint Maarten or draw at 85 percent, Sint Maarten (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Sint Maarten to win at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 11.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Sint Maarten2.21
Anguilla0.81Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Sint Maarten vs Anguilla: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
Sint Maarten. Our model gives them a 72% chance of winning, against 10% for Anguilla and 18% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 57%, with expected goals of 2.2 for Sint Maarten and 0.8 for Anguilla.
When is Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
Wednesday 11 November, 03:00 EAT (00:00 UTC). It is a International Friendly Games match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.