Danish Superliga
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs København Prediction: a narrow København win
Our model makes Sønderjyske Fodbold vs København a narrow København win, with a most likely score of 1-2 and moderate confidence at 62%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 64% — combined xG 3.4.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- FC København or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- FC København (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today64%1.56
- FC København to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-2Correct score tips today9.7%10.31
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 29Tips44 Power67
- 27Tips44 Form60
- 60Tips44 Attack72
- 0Tips44 Defence68
- 80Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 83%
9 of Sønderjyske Fodbold's last 10 and 9 of København's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - København to score90% recent
København scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has FC København at 62 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Sønderjyske Fodbold and 2.2 from FC København, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, FC København or draw at 82 percent and FC København (draw no bet) at 78 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 9.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs København: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Sønderjyske Fodbold vs København?
København. Our model gives them a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for Sønderjyske Fodbold and 20% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 1.2 for Sønderjyske Fodbold and 2.2 for København.
When is Sønderjyske Fodbold vs København?
Monday 2 November, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Danish Superliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.