Taça da Liga
Sporting CP vs CS Marítimo Prediction: a Sporting CP win
Our model makes Sporting CP vs CS Marítimo a Sporting CP win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 72%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Sporting CP favoured at 72% — model xG 2.4 vs 0.8.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Sporting CP or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Sporting CP (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- Sporting CP to winMatch result tips today72%1.39
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today11.2%8.93
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 72Tips44 Power34
- 67Tips44 Form37
- 92Tips44 Attack44
- 56Tips44 Defence20
- 70Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Sporting CP to score100% recent
Sporting CP scored in 10 of their last 10 (23 goals).
- CS Marítimo to score80% recent
CS Marítimo scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals75% recent · model 61%
7 of Sporting CP's last 10 and 8 of CS Marítimo's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.4 and 3.1 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 53%
Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting CP's last 10 and 7 of CS Marítimo's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Sporting CP at 72 percent, with the draw at 16 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.4 goals from Sporting CP and 0.8 from CS Marítimo, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Sporting CP or draw at 85 percent, Sporting CP (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 11.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Sporting CP vs CS Marítimo: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Sporting CP vs CS Marítimo?
Sporting CP. Our model gives them a 72% chance of winning, against 11% for CS Marítimo and 16% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 53%. Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting CP's last 10 and 7 of CS Marítimo's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 2.4 for Sporting CP and 0.8 for CS Marítimo.
When is Sporting CP vs CS Marítimo?
Tuesday 27 October, 23:15 EAT (20:15 UTC). It is a Taça da Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.