Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis Prediction: a narrow Stade Tunisien win
Our model makes Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis a narrow Stade Tunisien win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 48%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Stade Tunisien or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Stade Tunisien (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today18.9%5.29
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 43Tips44 Power60
- 37Tips44 Form60
- 36Tips44 Attack44
- 56Tips44 Defence76
- 40Tips44 Goals20
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- ES Zarzis to score80% recent
ES Zarzis scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Stade Tunisien at 48 percent, with the draw at 34 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Stade Tunisien and 0.7 from ES Zarzis, a combined 1.8, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Stade Tunisien or draw at 82 percent and Stade Tunisien (draw no bet) at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 18.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
Stade Tunisien. Our model gives them a 48% chance of winning, against 18% for ES Zarzis and 34% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 38%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 29%, with expected goals of 1.2 for Stade Tunisien and 0.7 for ES Zarzis.
When is Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
Thursday 29 October, 16:30 EAT (13:30 UTC). It is a Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.