Livescore44

Pro League

Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Prediction: a narrow Standard Liège win

Our model makes Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk a narrow Standard Liège win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Standard Liège win
Confidencelow (59%)
Market we would callStandard Liège to win

Standard Liège favoured at 59% — model xG 1.8 vs 0.9.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Standard LiègeKV Kortrijk
  • 40Tips44 Power15
  • 37Tips44 Form13
  • 56Tips44 Attack16
  • 28Tips44 Defence16
  • 70Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Standard Liège to score80% recent

    Standard Liège scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Standard Liège at 59 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Standard Liège and 0.9 from KV Kortrijk, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Standard Liège or draw at 83 percent, Standard Liège (draw no bet) at 77 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Standard Liège win59%
Draw24%
KV Kortrijk win17%

Expected goals

Standard LiègeStandard Liège1.76
KV KortrijkKV Kortrijk0.93

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk?

Standard Liège. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 17% for KV Kortrijk and 24% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Standard Liège and 0.9 for KV Kortrijk.

When is Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk?

Saturday 31 October, 20:15 EAT (17:15 UTC). It is a Pro League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.