Livescore44

League One

Stockport County vs Wimbledon Prediction: a Stockport County win

Our model makes Stockport County vs Wimbledon a Stockport County win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and moderate confidence at 65%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomeStockport County win
Predicted score1-0
Confidencemoderate (65%)
Market we would callStockport County to win

Stockport County favoured at 65% — model xG 1.9 vs 0.8.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Stockport CountyWimbledon
  • 70Tips44 Power36
  • 67Tips44 Form40
  • 80Tips44 Attack32
  • 64Tips44 Defence36
  • 40Tips44 Goals40

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Stockport County to score80% recent

    Stockport County scored in 8 of their last 10 (20 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Stockport County at 65 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Stockport County and 0.8 from AFC Wimbledon, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Stockport County or draw at 85 percent, Stockport County (draw no bet) at 83 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Stockport County win65%
Draw22%
Wimbledon win13%

Expected goals

Stockport CountyStockport County1.93
AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon0.83

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Stockport County vs Wimbledon: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Stockport County vs Wimbledon?

Stockport County. Our model gives them a 65% chance of winning, against 13% for Wimbledon and 22% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Stockport County and 0.8 for Wimbledon.

When is Stockport County vs Wimbledon?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League One match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.