DFB Pokal
07 Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction: a narrow 07 Elversberg win
Our model makes 07 Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98 a narrow 07 Elversberg win and moderate confidence at 65%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
SV 07 Elversberg favoured at 65% — model xG 1.6 vs 2.4.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- SV 07 Elversberg or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- Darmstadt 98 (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- SV 07 Elversberg to winMatch result tips today65%1.54
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-2Correct score tips today8.5%11.76
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 55Tips44 Power45
- 57Tips44 Form43
- 80Tips44 Attack60
- 28Tips44 Defence32
- 70Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 63%
7 of 07 Elversberg's last 10 and 7 of Darmstadt 98's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.8 and 3.2 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has SV 07 Elversberg at 65 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from SV 07 Elversberg and 2.4 from Darmstadt 98, a combined 4.0, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by SV 07 Elversberg or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent and Darmstadt 98 (draw no bet) at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 8.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
07 Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in 07 Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98?
07 Elversberg. Our model gives them a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Darmstadt 98 and 20% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63%, with expected goals of 1.6 for 07 Elversberg and 2.4 for Darmstadt 98.
When is 07 Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98?
Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a DFB Pokal match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.