League Two
Swindon Town vs Rotherham United Prediction: a narrow Swindon Town win
Our model makes Swindon Town vs Rotherham United a narrow Swindon Town win and low confidence at 60%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Swindon Town favoured at 60% — model xG 1.9 vs 1.0.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Swindon Town or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
- Swindon Town (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Swindon Town to winMatch result tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.6%9.43
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 45Tips44 Power34
- 40Tips44 Form27
- 44Tips44 Attack52
- 52Tips44 Defence24
- 40Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Swindon Town at 60 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Swindon Town and 1.0 from Rotherham United, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Swindon Town or draw at 83 percent, Swindon Town (draw no bet) at 78 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Swindon Town vs Rotherham United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Swindon Town vs Rotherham United?
Swindon Town. Our model gives them a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for Rotherham United and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Swindon Town and 1.0 for Rotherham United.
When is Swindon Town vs Rotherham United?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League Two match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.