Eliteserien
Viking FK vs Tromsø IL Prediction: a narrow Viking FK win
Our model makes Viking FK vs Tromsø IL a narrow Viking FK win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and moderate confidence at 62%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 65% — combined xG 3.3.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 241 wins and 121 losses from 362 settled picks, a 66.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- Viking FK or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Viking FK (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54
- Viking FK to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.3%10.75
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Viking FK at 62 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Viking FK and 1.3 from Tromsø IL, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, Viking FK or draw at 82 percent and Viking FK (draw no bet) at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.