Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 Prediction: a narrow TSG Hoffenheim win
Our model makes TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 a narrow TSG Hoffenheim win and low confidence at 51%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 1.5 at 81% — combined xG 3.2.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- TSG Hoffenheim or FC Schalke 04Double chance tips today77%1.30
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- TSG Hoffenheim (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today66%1.52
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.3%9.71
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 48Tips44 Power47
- 43Tips44 Form40
- 64Tips44 Attack40
- 36Tips44 Defence60
- 70Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- TSG Hoffenheim to score80% recent
TSG Hoffenheim scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has TSG Hoffenheim at 51 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from TSG Hoffenheim and 1.3 from FC Schalke 04, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, TSG Hoffenheim or FC Schalke 04 at 77 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
TSG Hoffenheim1.84
FC Schalke 041.32Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?
TSG Hoffenheim. Our model gives them a 51% chance of winning, against 26% for Schalke 04 and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.8 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.3 for Schalke 04.
When is TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?
Sunday 8 November, 21:30 EAT (18:30 UTC). It is a Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.