Liga Portugal 2
União de Leiria vs AVS - Futebol SAD Prediction: a narrow União de Leiria win
Our model makes União de Leiria vs AVS - Futebol SAD a narrow União de Leiria win and low confidence at 54%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- União de Leiria or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- União de Leiria (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.5%8.70
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 58Tips44 Power60
- 57Tips44 Form60
- 60Tips44 Attack52
- 56Tips44 Defence68
- 40Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- União de Leiria to score80% recent
União de Leiria scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- AVS - Futebol SAD to score80% recent
AVS - Futebol SAD scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has União de Leiria at 54 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from União de Leiria and 1.0 from AVS - Futebol SAD, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: União de Leiria or draw at 80 percent, União de Leiria (draw no bet) at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
União de Leiria vs AVS - Futebol SAD: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in União de Leiria vs AVS - Futebol SAD?
União de Leiria. Our model gives them a 54% chance of winning, against 20% for AVS - Futebol SAD and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50%, with expected goals of 1.7 for União de Leiria and 1.0 for AVS - Futebol SAD.
When is União de Leiria vs AVS - Futebol SAD?
Saturday 31 October, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Liga Portugal 2 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.