J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction: a narrow V-Varen Nagasaki win
Our model makes V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy a narrow V-Varen Nagasaki win and low confidence at 50%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- V-Varen Nagasaki or drawDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- V-Varen Nagasaki (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today67%1.49
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.4%8.77
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 42Tips44 Power28
- 33Tips44 Form23
- 48Tips44 Attack28
- 44Tips44 Defence32
- 40Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 77%
9 of V-Varen Nagasaki's last 10 and 8 of Tokyo Verdy's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has V-Varen Nagasaki at 50 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.2 from Tokyo Verdy, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: V-Varen Nagasaki or draw at 75 percent and V-Varen Nagasaki (draw no bet) at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
V-Varen Nagasaki. Our model gives them a 50% chance of winning, against 25% for Tokyo Verdy and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 1.7 for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.2 for Tokyo Verdy.
When is V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
Sunday 1 November, 08:00 EAT (05:00 UTC). It is a J1 League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.