MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders Prediction: a narrow Vancouver Whitecaps win
Our model makes Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders a narrow Vancouver Whitecaps win and low confidence at 60%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.9 / 1.1).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Vancouver Whitecaps or drawDouble chance tips today81%1.23
- Vancouver Whitecaps (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Vancouver Whitecaps to winMatch result tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 58Tips44 Power59
- 50Tips44 Form53
- 72Tips44 Attack68
- 52Tips44 Defence56
- 70Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Vancouver Whitecaps to score80% recent
Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Seattle Sounders to score80% recent
Seattle Sounders scored in 8 of their last 10 (17 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Vancouver Whitecaps at 60 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.1 from Seattle Sounders FC, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Vancouver Whitecaps or draw at 81 percent, Vancouver Whitecaps (draw no bet) at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Vancouver Whitecaps1.89
Seattle Sounders FC1.08Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?
Vancouver Whitecaps. Our model gives them a 60% chance of winning, against 19% for Seattle Sounders and 21% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.1 for Seattle Sounders.
When is Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?
Sunday 1 November, 23:30 EAT (20:30 UTC). It is a MLS match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.