Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction: a VfB Stuttgart win
Our model makes VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen a VfB Stuttgart win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and moderate confidence at 65%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
VfB Stuttgart favoured at 65%, with model xG of 2.3 vs 1.2.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- VfB Stuttgart or drawDouble chance tips today84%1.19
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today80%1.25
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- VfB Stuttgart to winMatch result tips today65%1.54
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today65%1.54
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.7%10.31
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 72Tips44 Power43
- 63Tips44 Form50
- 84Tips44 Attack76
- 68Tips44 Defence4
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Werder Bremen to score90% recent
Werder Bremen scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 84%
7 of VfB Stuttgart's last 10 and 10 of Werder Bremen's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - VfB Stuttgart to score80% recent
VfB Stuttgart scored in 8 of their last 10 (21 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has VfB Stuttgart at 65 percent, with the draw at 19 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.3 goals from VfB Stuttgart and 1.2 from SV Werder Bremen, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by VfB Stuttgart or draw at 84 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent and VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet) at 80 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
VfB Stuttgart2.27
SV Werder Bremen1.16Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
VfB Stuttgart. Our model gives them a 65% chance of winning, against 16% for Werder Bremen and 19% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 65%, with expected goals of 2.3 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.2 for Werder Bremen.
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Saturday 7 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.