Eerste Divisie
VVV-Venlo vs Jong PSV Eindhoven Prediction: a narrow VVV-Venlo win
Our model makes VVV-Venlo vs Jong PSV Eindhoven a narrow VVV-Venlo win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 72% — combined xG 3.5.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- VVV-Venlo or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- VVV-Venlo (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today72%1.39
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today66%1.52
- VVV-Venlo to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.4%10.64
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 70Tips44 Power39
- 73Tips44 Form33
- 100Tips44 Attack48
- 36Tips44 Defence36
- 90Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- VVV-Venlo to score100% recent
VVV-Venlo scored in 10 of their last 10 (29 goals).
- Jong PSV Eindhoven to score80% recent
Jong PSV Eindhoven scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 66%
Both teams scored in 7 of VVV-Venlo's last 10 and 8 of Jong PSV Eindhoven's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 72%
9 of VVV-Venlo's last 10 and 5 of Jong PSV Eindhoven's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 4.5 and 2.8 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has VVV-Venlo at 58 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.2 goals from VVV-Venlo and 1.4 from Jong PSV Eindhoven, a combined 3.5, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, VVV-Venlo or draw at 79 percent and VVV-Venlo (draw no bet) at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
VVV-Venlo2.16
Jong PSV Eindhoven1.36Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
VVV-Venlo vs Jong PSV Eindhoven: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in VVV-Venlo vs Jong PSV Eindhoven?
VVV-Venlo. Our model gives them a 58% chance of winning, against 21% for Jong PSV Eindhoven and 22% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 66%. Both teams scored in 7 of VVV-Venlo's last 10 and 8 of Jong PSV Eindhoven's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 72%, with expected goals of 2.2 for VVV-Venlo and 1.4 for Jong PSV Eindhoven.
When is VVV-Venlo vs Jong PSV Eindhoven?
Friday 6 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Eerste Divisie match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.