Livescore44

National League

Wealdstone vs Southend United Prediction: a narrow Southend United win

Our model makes Wealdstone vs Southend United a narrow Southend United win and low confidence at 52%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Southend United win
Confidencelow (52%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 61% — combined xG 3.2.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
WealdstoneSouthend United
  • 45Tips44 Power64
  • 43Tips44 Form60
  • 60Tips44 Attack100
  • 32Tips44 Defence32
  • 70Tips44 Goals90

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Southend United to score100% recent

    Southend United scored in 10 of their last 10 (25 goals).

  • Over 2.5 goals80% recent · model 61%

    7 of Wealdstone's last 10 and 9 of Southend United's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.2 and 4.2 a game).

    More over 2.5 goals picks today
  • Wealdstone to score80% recent

    Wealdstone scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).

  • Both teams to score75% recent · model 60%

    Both teams scored in 5 of Wealdstone's last 10 and 10 of Southend United's last 10.

    More both teams to score picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Southend United at 52 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Wealdstone and 1.9 from Southend United, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Wealdstone or Southend United at 77 percent and Southend United (draw no bet) at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Wealdstone win25%
Draw23%
Southend United win52%

Expected goals

WealdstoneWealdstone1.33
Southend UnitedSouthend United1.90

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Wealdstone vs Southend United: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Southend United. Our model gives them a 52% chance of winning, against 25% for Wealdstone and 23% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 60%. Both teams scored in 5 of Wealdstone's last 10 and 10 of Southend United's last 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Wealdstone and 1.9 for Southend United.

When is Wealdstone vs Southend United?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a National League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.