Livescore44

Girabola

Wiliete vs Cabinda Prediction: a Wiliete win

Our model makes Wiliete vs Cabinda a Wiliete win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and moderate confidence at 72%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomeWiliete win
Predicted score1-0
Confidencemoderate (72%)
Market we would callWiliete SC to win

Wiliete SC favoured at 72% — model xG 1.6 vs 0.3.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 309 wins and 147 losses from 456 settled picks, a 67.8% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
WilieteCabinda
  • 80Tips44 Power30
  • 80Tips44 Form19
  • 72Tips44 Attack17
  • 88Tips44 Defence54
  • 30Tips44 Goals43

Out of 100, from each team's last 7 to 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Wiliete to score90% recent

    Wiliete scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Wiliete SC at 72 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Wiliete SC and 0.3 from FC Cabinda, a combined 2.0, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Wiliete SC or draw at 85 percent, Wiliete SC (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Wiliete SC to win at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 22.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Wiliete win72%
Draw23%
Cabinda win5%

Expected goals

Wiliete SCWiliete SC1.64
FC CabindaFC Cabinda0.35

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Wiliete vs Cabinda: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Wiliete vs Cabinda?

Wiliete. Our model gives them a 72% chance of winning, against 5% for Cabinda and 23% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 30%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 33%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Wiliete and 0.3 for Cabinda.

When is Wiliete vs Cabinda?

Sunday 1 November, 19:15 EAT (16:15 UTC). It is a Girabola match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.