National League
Worthing vs Sutton United Prediction: a narrow Worthing win
Our model makes Worthing vs Sutton United a narrow Worthing win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and moderate confidence at 62%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Worthing FC favoured at 62% — model xG 2.1 vs 1.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Worthing FC or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- Worthing FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Worthing FC to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.9%10.10
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 67Tips44 Power31
- 70Tips44 Form30
- 80Tips44 Attack36
- 52Tips44 Defence28
- 80Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 82%
9 of Worthing's last 10 and 9 of Sutton United's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Worthing to score90% recent
Worthing scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Worthing FC at 62 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Worthing FC and 1.1 from Sutton United, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Worthing FC or draw at 82 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent and Worthing FC (draw no bet) at 78 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Worthing vs Sutton United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Worthing vs Sutton United?
Worthing. Our model gives them a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for Sutton United and 21% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Worthing and 1.1 for Sutton United.
When is Worthing vs Sutton United?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.